Politicians, Parties and Plaintiff Trial Lawyers are Unknown or Unliked in New Florida Chamber of Commerce Statewide Poll

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (August 24, 2016) – The latest Florida Chamber Political Institute (FCPI) statewide poll shows Floridians either don’t know or don’t like politicians that will appear on their ballot, the parties they represent and the plaintiff trial lawyers that financially back many candidates.

With 12.3 million registered Florida voters, hundreds of thousands of which are newly registered since the last presidential election, and 40 new state senate districts that Florida voters will vote in for the first time, this remains one of the most unprecedented elections.

“A week sounds like a short time, but it can be a lifetime for a campaign and provide candidates the opportunity to make solid gains that can improve their outcome. It’s unusual to see this many undecided voters this close to the election, but for candidates, its good news. They still have time to move the voters,” said MARIAN JOHNSON, Senior Vice President of Government and Political Relations.

Politicians, Parties, and Plaintiff Trial Lawyers are Unknown or Unliked

Poll_082416

Key Facts About Florida Voters:

  • Jobs and the economy remain the number one concern among Florida voters at 21 percent, followed by education and schools at 13 percent.
  • 39 percent of Florida voters believe their families’ current financial situation is better today than a year ago, with 37 percent saying about the same.
  • Florida voters are virtually evenly split on how they feel on whether Florida is moving in the right direction – 40 percent right direction and 41 percent wrong direction.

 

Head-to-Head Matchups:

Presidential Election:
Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton 44 percent to 43 percent in the head-to-head General Election matchup. The Florida Chamber Political Institute poll shows Trump leads even more when third party candidates are added to the mix. Trump leads Clinton’s 44 percent to 41 percent with Libertarian Gary Johnson pulling 9 percent of the vote.

  • Donald Trump 44%
  • Hillary Clinton 43%
  • Someone Else 7%
  • Undecided 5%

Presidential Ticket:

  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence 44%
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 41%
  • Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 9%
  • Someone Else 2%
  • Undecided 4%

U.S. Senate:
Marco Rubio and Patrick Murphy are each headed to comfortable wins to secure their party nominations.

  • Republican Ticket:
    Marco Rubio beats Carlos Beruff 68% to 19% with 10% undecided.
  • Democratic Ticket:
    Patrick Murphy beats Alan Grayson 40% to 11% with 38% undecided.

According to Florida Chamber of Commerce Senior Director of Campaign and Elections Andrew Wiggins, despite Trump’s small lead statewide, his current unfavorable rating may pose problems in certain state and local races.

“The data clearly shows that Donald Trump’s name recognition may impact republican candidates down ballot – particularly in large metropolitan South Florida areas. And, digging deep into the numbers, Trump continues to trail Hillary Clinton in South Florida, trailing by 19 points in Miami-Dade and by 15 points in West Palm Beach,” ANDREW WIGGINS explained.

Amendment 4:

If the election were held today, it appears almost 70 percent of voters would support the passage of Amendment 4 on the August 30 primary ballot and which unlocks the value of solar for Florida businesses and communities by removing the ad valorem taxes that solar installations carry on commercial properties under current law.

  • Yes 70%
  • No 14%

“Amendment 4 on the August 30 primary ballot will bring more solar jobs to Florida and help diversify our energy grid,” said SENATOR JEFF BRANDES (R – St. Petersburg, FL). “This poll shows a broad bipartisan support for solar in Florida, and everyone regardless of party affiliation should vote YES on or by August 30.”

Daily absentee and early voting (EAV) data shows that 1,153,497 Florida voters have already voted for the August 30th primary election. EAV is a major part of today’s elections, and the Florida Chamber is providing daily EAV reports broken down by county and legislative district. Click here to access the report – updated each day before 4 p.m.

 

ABOUT THIS POLL:
The Florida Chamber of Commerce political poll was conducted on August 17-22, 2016 by Cherry Communications during live telephone interviews of likely voters, and has a margin of error of +/-4 percent. The sample size included 258 Democrats, 249 Republicans and 101 Others for a total of 608 respondents statewide. The samples for the polls conducted by the Florida Chamber are consistently drawn from likely voters and newly registered voters, meaning those voters who have the propensity and past performance of voting in elections, rather than simply including registered voters.  Voters are again screened for likelihood of voting.

 

New Florida Chamber Poll Shows Florida Voters Want Good Jobs for Everyone

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT:
Edie Ousley
(850) 521-1231
eousley@flchamber.com

Jobs, Education and Healthcare Top Voter Concerns
National Security Concerns Increasing Among Floridians

 

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (January 13, 2016) – While many candidates run to the far left or far right, Florida voters are clearly focused on one thing – good jobs for everyone, a new Florida Chamber Political Institute (FCPI) poll released today shows. The FCPI poll was released today in conjunction with the Florida Chamber’s Board of Governors Capitol Days.

The FCPI poll, conducted January 4-7, 2016, shows voters top concern is job creation and an improving economy (19 percent), followed by education (15 percent) and healthcare (9 percent). Additionally, when asked about Florida’s water supply – a top priority for legislative leaders – nearly three-out-of-four Florida voters believe Florida should take action now to make sure the state has an adequate water supply. Only 13 percent believe Florida currently has an adequate water supply.

“This poll clearly shows that voters, like the Florida Chamber, agree that good jobs for everyone is a top priority. And, in a state where 1 in every 11 U.S. jobs is created in Florida, the margin of voters concerned about jobs and the economy will likely continue to increase,” said Marian Johnson, Senior Vice President of Political Strategy for the Florida Chamber.

RIGHT/WRONG DIRECTION:

Overall, Florida voters are pleased with the direction Florida is headed. The FCPI shows 44 percent say Florida is headed in the right direction, compared to 34 percent who say wrong direction. Additionally, 39 percent said they are better off today than a year ago, compared to 26 percent who disagreed – a 13 percent spread.

GAMBLING:

As legislative leaders look at renewing a version of the Seminole Compact, the Florida Chamber continues to check the pulse of Florida voters. In the last 10 days, the Florida Chamber has conducted two polls on this subject. In both polls, it’s clear that voters agree with the Florida Chamber that now is not the time to expand Las Vegas-style casino gambling. Fully 95 percent of Florida voters want to protect Florida’s family-friendly brand, according to polling data released last week. The latest FCPI polling data shows a majority of voters, 53 percent, oppose expanding gambling in Florida.

LAWSUITS:

While lawmakers took no action on lawsuit reform last session, 64 percent of voters believe the number of lawsuits filed is a problem and something should be done.

SECURITY CONCERNS:

Not surprisingly, voters are increasingly concerned about their security – particularly the threat of ISIS to Florida. While the economy is the top concern on the national scene (53 percent), the threat of ISIS to Florida was a major concern for about 23 percent of voters.

CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENTS:

If the election were held tomorrow, “Use of Marijuana for Debilitating Medical Conditions” would pass as 74 percent of the voters favor the amendment.
“Rights of Electricity Consumers Regarding Solar Energy Choice” would also pass as 77 percent of the voters favor this amendment compared to only 9 percent do oppose it.

ABOUT THIS POLL:

The Florida Chamber political Institute poll was conducted January 4 – 7, 2016 by Cherry Communications.  The poll interviewed 711 frequent voters via both land and cell lines.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percent with a 95 percent confidence level.

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The Florida Chamber of Commerce is the voice of business and the state’s largest federation of employers, chambers of commerce and associations, aggressively representing small and large businesses from every industry and every region. The Florida Chamber works within all branches of government to affect those changes set forth in the annual Florida Business Agenda, and which are seen as critical to secure Florida’s future. The Florida Chamber works closely with its Political Operations and the Florida Chamber Foundation. Visit www.FloridaChamber.com for more information.